Dalton SchultzorJuwan Johnson?

Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson outscores Dalton Schultz in 55% of simulations.

Dalton Schultz still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Juwan Johnson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Juwan Johnson projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Juwan Johnson faces the Carolina Panthers (2% more than average to TEs), Dalton Schultz faces the Cleveland Browns (average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Juwan Johnson wins 60%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Dalton Schultz
Floor
2.1
Median
5.9
Ceiling
12.8
Big game (15+):
5%
Dud (under 5):
41%
Juwan Johnson
Floor
2.5
Median
6.7
Ceiling
14.0
Big game (15+):
8%
Dud (under 5):
34%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatDalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETJuwan JohnsonTE, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.97.6
PPR projection9.19.4
Standard projection4.85.8
Rank this weekTE20TE16
Matchupat CLEvs CAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.78.1
Last season per game8.08.3
Snap share, last game44%53%
Trade value——