Juwan JohnsonorKyle Pitts?
Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Juwan Johnson
Juwan Johnson outscores Kyle Pitts in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyle Pitts comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Juwan Johnson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kyle Pitts projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Juwan Johnson has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (10% more than average to TEs); Kyle Pitts faces the San Francisco 49ers (12% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 29%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 18.9
- Big game (15+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 5):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Juwan JohnsonTE, NO, Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 a.m. ET | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.4 | 8.7 |
| PPR projection | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 6.9 |
| Rank this week | TE10 | TE9 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | vs SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 7.1 |
| Last season per game | 8.3 | 9.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 78% |
| Trade value | — | 8 |