Isaiah LikelyorKyle Pitts?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Isaiah Likely
Isaiah Likely outscores Kyle Pitts in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyle Pitts comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Isaiah Likely, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 6.9 half-PPR points in Week 4. Isaiah Likely has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (31% more than average to TEs); Kyle Pitts faces the New Orleans Saints (8% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 49%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Isaiah LikelyTE, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.9 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| Standard projection | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Rank this week | TE18 | TE17 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.6 | 1.0 |
| Last season per game | 4.0 | 9.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 59% |
| Trade value | — | — |