Isaiah LikelyorTucker Kraft?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Tucker Kraft
Tucker Kraft outscores Isaiah Likely in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Isaiah Likely comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Tucker Kraft, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tucker Kraft projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Isaiah Likely has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (3% more than average to TEs); Tucker Kraft faces the Dallas Cowboys (6% fewer than average to TEs). Tucker Kraft still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (15+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 5):
- 35%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 8.4
- Ceiling
- 18.5
- Big game (15+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 5):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Isaiah LikelyTE, NYG, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tucker KraftTE, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.5 | 9.9 |
| PPR projection | 11.8 | 11.9 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | TE9 | TE6 |
| Matchup | vs NO | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.8 | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | 4.0 | 12.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 80% | 77% |
| Trade value | 4 | 10 |