Colston LovelandorT.J. Hockenson?
Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start T.J. Hockenson
T.J. Hockenson outscores Colston Loveland in 57% of simulations.
Colston Loveland still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so T.J. Hockenson is the better bet, not a sure thing. T.J. Hockenson projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. T.J. Hockenson has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (8% more than average to TEs); Colston Loveland faces the New England Patriots (8% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 46%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 15.0
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Colston LovelandTE, CHI, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET | T.J. HockensonTE, MIN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.1 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.8 | 10.2 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | TE17 | TE14 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.5 | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | 8.5 | 5.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 3% |
| Trade value | — | — |