Dallas GoedertorT.J. Hockenson?
Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Dallas Goedert
Dallas Goedert outscores T.J. Hockenson in 56% of simulations.
T.J. Hockenson still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Dallas Goedert is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dallas Goedert projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. T.J. Hockenson has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (53% more than average to TEs); Dallas Goedert faces the Washington Commanders (42% more than average to TEs). Dallas Goedert still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (15+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 5):
- 21%
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (15+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 5):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dallas GoedertTE, PHI, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ET | T.J. HockensonTE, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.9 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 13.3 | 11.8 |
| Standard projection | 8.4 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | TE4 | TE9 |
| Matchup | at WAS | at DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.2 | 8.2 |
| Last season per game | 10.3 | 5.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 76% |
| Trade value | 5 | — |