T.J. HockensonorTyler Warren?

Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Tyler Warren

Tyler Warren outscores T.J. Hockenson in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: T.J. Hockenson comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Tyler Warren, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 7.8 half-PPR points in Week 7. T.J. Hockenson has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (8% more than average to TEs); Tyler Warren faces the Minnesota Vikings (30% fewer than average to TEs). Tyler Warren still wins more often despite that. Tyler Warren is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

T.J. Hockenson
Floor
2.3
Median
6.7
Ceiling
15.0
Big game (15+):
10%
Dud (under 5):
34%
Tyler Warren
Floor
0.0
Median
7.3
Ceiling
14.3
Big game (15+):
8%
Dud (under 5):
29%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatT.J. HockensonTE, MIN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ETTyler WarrenTE, IND, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.87.8
PPR projection10.29.8
Standard projection5.45.7
Rank this weekTE15TE16
Matchupvs INDat MIN
InjuryNoneQuestionable
2026 points per game7.511.0
Last season per game5.88.9
Snap share, last game3%94%
Trade value—14