Dallas GoedertorKyle Pitts?
Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Dallas Goedert
Dallas Goedert outscores Kyle Pitts in 55% of simulations.
Kyle Pitts still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Dallas Goedert is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dallas Goedert projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Dallas Goedert faces the Dallas Cowboys (9% fewer than average to TEs), Kyle Pitts faces the San Francisco 49ers (12% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.8
- Ceiling
- 17.5
- Big game (15+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 5):
- 27%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 18.9
- Big game (15+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 5):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dallas GoedertTE, PHI, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.3 | 8.7 |
| PPR projection | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.3 | 6.9 |
| Rank this week | TE7 | TE9 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | vs SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.6 | 7.1 |
| Last season per game | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 78% |
| Trade value | 11 | 8 |