Dallas GoedertorHarold Fannin Jr.?
Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Harold Fannin Jr.
Harold Fannin Jr. outscores Dallas Goedert in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Dallas Goedert comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Harold Fannin Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Dallas Goedert projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Harold Fannin Jr. faces the New York Jets (average to TEs), Dallas Goedert faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (15+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 5):
- 24%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 18.2
- Big game (15+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 5):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dallas GoedertTE, PHI, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET | Harold Fannin Jr.TE, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.3 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 12.0 | 12.4 |
| Standard projection | 8.5 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | TE5 | TE6 |
| Matchup | at JAX | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.3 | 10.4 |
| Last season per game | 10.3 | 9.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 25% | 89% |
| Trade value | 20 | 18 |