Hunter HenryorMike Gesicki?

Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki outscores Hunter Henry in 61% of simulations.

Hunter Henry still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so Mike Gesicki is the better bet, not a sure thing. These are their next games: Hunter Henry in Week 9, Mike Gesicki in Week 10. Mike Gesicki projects 2.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Mike Gesicki has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% more than average to TEs); Hunter Henry faces the Green Bay Packers (25% fewer than average to TEs). Hunter Henry is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Hunter Henry
Floor
0.0
Median
5.8
Ceiling
14.2
Big game (15+):
8%
Dud (under 5):
43%
Mike Gesicki
Floor
2.7
Median
7.8
Ceiling
17.1
Big game (15+):
15%
Dud (under 5):
28%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatHunter HenryTE, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ETMike GesickiTE, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.79.0
PPR projection8.210.3
Standard projection5.37.6
Rank this weekTE18Not ranked
Matchupvs GBvs PIT
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game7.411.4
Last season per game8.84.7
Snap share, last game13%68%
Trade value——