Dalton SchultzorIsaiah Likely?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Dalton Schultz
Dalton Schultz outscores Isaiah Likely in 61% of simulations.
Isaiah Likely still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so Dalton Schultz is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dalton Schultz projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Isaiah Likely has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (31% more than average to TEs); Dalton Schultz faces the Dallas Cowboys (1% more than average to TEs). Dalton Schultz still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 16.6
- Big game (15+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 5):
- 27%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 16.6
- Big game (15+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 5):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Isaiah LikelyTE, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.0 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 11.7 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 5.6 |
| Rank this week | TE13 | TE17 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.0 | 10.6 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 54% | 84% |
| Trade value | — | — |