Dalton SchultzorDarren Waller?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Darren Waller
Darren Waller outscores Dalton Schultz in 55% of simulations.
Dalton Schultz still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Darren Waller is the better bet, not a sure thing. Darren Waller projects 2.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Darren Waller faces the New Orleans Saints (7% more than average to TEs), Dalton Schultz faces the Cleveland Browns (average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Darren Waller wins 63%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (15+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 5):
- 41%
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 18.4
- Big game (15+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 5):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Darren WallerTE, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.9 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.1 | 10.5 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | TE20 | TE7 |
| Matchup | at CLE | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.7 | 8.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 8.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 53% |
| Trade value | — | 2 |