Brenton StrangeorTravis Kelce?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Travis Kelce
Travis Kelce outscores Brenton Strange in 56% of simulations.
Brenton Strange still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Travis Kelce is the better bet, not a sure thing. Travis Kelce projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Travis Kelce faces the Los Angeles Chargers (25% fewer than average to TEs), Brenton Strange faces the Houston Texans (20% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 12.9
- Big game (15+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 5):
- 34%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brenton StrangeTE, JAX, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.2 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.1 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | TE14 | TE11 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.0 | 11.2 |
| Last season per game | 7.9 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 83% |
| Trade value | — | 8 |