Colston LovelandorMike Gesicki?
Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Mike Gesicki
Mike Gesicki outscores Colston Loveland in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Colston Loveland comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Mike Gesicki, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Colston Loveland projects 0.6 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Colston Loveland has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (8% fewer than average to TEs); Mike Gesicki faces the Baltimore Ravens (21% fewer than average to TEs). Mike Gesicki still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 46%
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Colston LovelandTE, CHI, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET | Mike GesickiTE, CIN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.1 | 6.5 |
| PPR projection | 8.8 | 7.6 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | TE17 | TE18 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.5 | 11.5 |
| Last season per game | 8.5 | 4.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 45% |
| Trade value | — | — |