Harold Fannin Jr.orMike Gesicki?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Harold Fannin Jr.
Harold Fannin Jr. outscores Mike Gesicki in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mike Gesicki comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Harold Fannin Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Harold Fannin Jr. projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Mike Gesicki has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% more than average to TEs); Harold Fannin Jr. faces the Houston Texans (20% fewer than average to TEs). Harold Fannin Jr. still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 28%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 15.1
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Harold Fannin Jr.TE, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mike GesickiTE, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.6 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 10.5 | 9.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.7 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | TE8 | TE12 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.3 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 9.4 | 4.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 47% |
| Trade value | 12 | — |