Kyle PittsorPat Freiermuth?
Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Kyle Pitts
Kyle Pitts outscores Pat Freiermuth in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Pat Freiermuth comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Kyle Pitts, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kyle Pitts projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Pat Freiermuth has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (8% more than average to TEs); Kyle Pitts faces the San Francisco 49ers (12% fewer than average to TEs). Kyle Pitts still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 18.9
- Big game (15+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 5):
- 39%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 16.8
- Big game (15+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 5):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Pat FreiermuthTE, PIT, Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.7 | 8.0 |
| PPR projection | 10.5 | 9.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 6.4 |
| Rank this week | TE9 | TE12 |
| Matchup | vs SF | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.1 | 8.8 |
| Last season per game | 9.8 | 6.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 72% |
| Trade value | 8 | — |