Kyle PittsorSam LaPorta?
Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Sam LaPorta
Sam LaPorta outscores Kyle Pitts in 62% of simulations.
Kyle Pitts still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Sam LaPorta is the better bet, not a sure thing. Sam LaPorta projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Kyle Pitts has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (12% fewer than average to TEs); Sam LaPorta faces the Green Bay Packers (20% fewer than average to TEs). Sam LaPorta still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 18.9
- Big game (15+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 5):
- 39%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 18.1
- Big game (15+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 5):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Sam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.7 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 10.5 | 12.4 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | TE9 | TE5 |
| Matchup | vs SF | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.1 | 12.6 |
| Last season per game | 9.8 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 89% |
| Trade value | 8 | 24 |