Brenton StrangeorDarren Waller?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Brenton Strange
Brenton Strange outscores Darren Waller in 55% of simulations.
Darren Waller still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Brenton Strange is the better bet, not a sure thing. Brenton Strange projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Brenton Strange has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (20% fewer than average to TEs); Darren Waller faces the Philadelphia Eagles (37% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 12.9
- Big game (15+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 5):
- 34%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (15+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 5):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brenton StrangeTE, JAX, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET | Darren WallerTE, CAR, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.2 | 7.1 |
| PPR projection | 9.1 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | TE14 | TE15 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.0 | 8.3 |
| Last season per game | 7.9 | 8.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 53% |
| Trade value | — | — |