George KittleorKyle Pitts?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start George Kittle
George Kittle outscores Kyle Pitts in 65% of simulations.
Kyle Pitts still comes out ahead in the other 35%, so George Kittle is the better bet, not a sure thing. George Kittle projects 2.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Kyle Pitts has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (41% more than average to TEs); George Kittle faces the Las Vegas Raiders (3% more than average to TEs). George Kittle still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 13%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (15+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 5):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | George KittleTE, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.6 | 9.8 |
| PPR projection | 15.3 | 12.1 |
| Standard projection | 9.9 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | TE4 | TE8 |
| Matchup | vs LV | vs CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 6.8 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 9.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 55% |
| Trade value | 27 | — |