Colston LovelandorHunter Henry?
Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Hunter Henry
Hunter Henry outscores Colston Loveland in 57% of simulations.
Colston Loveland still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Hunter Henry is the better bet, not a sure thing. Hunter Henry projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Hunter Henry faces the Chicago Bears (12% fewer than average to TEs), Colston Loveland faces the New England Patriots (8% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 46%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Colston LovelandTE, CHI, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET | Hunter HenryTE, NE, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.1 | 7.9 |
| PPR projection | 8.8 | 9.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 6.3 |
| Rank this week | TE17 | TE13 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at CHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.5 | 7.3 |
| Last season per game | 8.5 | 8.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 76% |
| Trade value | — | 4 |