Dalton SchultzorHarold Fannin Jr.?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Harold Fannin Jr.
Harold Fannin Jr. outscores Dalton Schultz in 55% of simulations.
Dalton Schultz still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Harold Fannin Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Harold Fannin Jr. projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Dalton Schultz has the better matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars (5% fewer than average to TEs); Harold Fannin Jr. faces the Baltimore Ravens (17% fewer than average to TEs). Harold Fannin Jr. still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Harold Fannin Jr. wins 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 13.3
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 40%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 14.6
- Big game (15+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 5):
- 33%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET | Harold Fannin Jr.TE, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.1 | 8.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.3 | 9.7 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 6.2 |
| Rank this week | TE16 | TE12 |
| Matchup | at JAX | vs BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.3 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 9.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 93% |
| Trade value | — | 1 |