Harold Fannin Jr.orJuwan Johnson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Harold Fannin Jr.
Harold Fannin Jr. outscores Juwan Johnson in 64% of simulations.
Juwan Johnson still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Harold Fannin Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Harold Fannin Jr. projects 3.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Harold Fannin Jr. faces the New Orleans Saints (7% more than average to TEs), Juwan Johnson faces the Cleveland Browns (average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (15+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 5):
- 22%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 13.2
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 38%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Harold Fannin Jr.TE, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Juwan JohnsonTE, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| PPR projection | 12.4 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 5.1 |
| Rank this week | TE7 | TE17 |
| Matchup | at NO | vs CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Last season per game | 9.4 | 8.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 56% |
| Trade value | 6 | — |