Mike GesickiorT.J. Hockenson?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Mike Gesicki
Mike Gesicki outscores T.J. Hockenson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: T.J. Hockenson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Mike Gesicki, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Mike Gesicki projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Mike Gesicki has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% more than average to TEs); T.J. Hockenson faces the Green Bay Packers (23% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Mike Gesicki wins 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 15.1
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 36%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 37%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Mike GesickiTE, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | T.J. HockensonTE, MIN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.8 | 7.1 |
| PPR projection | 9.1 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.5 | 5.2 |
| Rank this week | TE14 | TE18 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 4.7 | 5.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 47% | 81% |
| Trade value | — | — |