Darnell WashingtonorT.J. Hockenson?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean T.J. Hockenson
T.J. Hockenson outscores Darnell Washington in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Darnell Washington comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean T.J. Hockenson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Darnell Washington projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Darnell Washington has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (39% more than average to TEs); T.J. Hockenson faces the Green Bay Packers (23% fewer than average to TEs). T.J. Hockenson still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Darnell Washington is the pick at 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (15+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 5):
- 36%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 37%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Darnell WashingtonTE, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | T.J. HockensonTE, MIN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.2 | 7.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.6 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 5.8 | 5.2 |
| Rank this week | TE16 | TE18 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.6 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 4.5 | 5.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 63% | 81% |
| Trade value | — | — |