Dalton SchultzorTyler Higbee?
Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Dalton Schultz
Dalton Schultz outscores Tyler Higbee in 56% of simulations.
Tyler Higbee still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Dalton Schultz is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dalton Schultz projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Dalton Schultz has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (3% fewer than average to TEs); Tyler Higbee faces the Buffalo Bills (32% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 14.2
- Big game (15+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 5):
- 37%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler HigbeeTE, LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.6 | 6.5 |
| PPR projection | 10.0 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | TE13 | TE17 |
| Matchup | at TEN | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.0 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 5.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 65% |
| Trade value | — | — |