Jake FergusonorMason Taylor?

Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Mason Taylor

Mason Taylor outscores Jake Ferguson in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jake Ferguson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Mason Taylor, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Mason Taylor projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Jake Ferguson has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (26% more than average to TEs); Mason Taylor faces the Las Vegas Raiders (7% more than average to TEs). Mason Taylor still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jake Ferguson
Floor
1.6
Median
5.5
Ceiling
13.3
Big game (15+):
7%
Dud (under 5):
45%
Mason Taylor
Floor
1.1
Median
5.6
Ceiling
15.9
Big game (15+):
12%
Dud (under 5):
46%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJake FergusonTE, DAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETMason TaylorTE, NYJ, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.87.4
PPR projection8.79.2
Standard projection5.05.6
Rank this weekTE18TE15
Matchupvs ARIvs LV
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.18.2
Last season per game8.75.1
Snap share, last game56%63%
Trade value——