Eli RaridonorJake Ferguson?
Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Eli Raridon
Eli Raridon outscores Jake Ferguson in 56% of simulations.
Jake Ferguson still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Eli Raridon is the better bet, not a sure thing. Eli Raridon projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Eli Raridon has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (36% more than average to TEs); Jake Ferguson faces the Arizona Cardinals (26% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 37%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 13.3
- Big game (15+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 5):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Eli RaridonTE, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Jake FergusonTE, DAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 6.8 |
| PPR projection | 9.1 | 8.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.4 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | TE14 | TE18 |
| Matchup | at MIA | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.8 | 5.1 |
| Last season per game | — | 8.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 54% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |