Dallas GoedertorTyler Higbee?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Dallas Goedert
Dallas Goedert outscores Tyler Higbee in 56% of simulations.
Tyler Higbee still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Dallas Goedert is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dallas Goedert projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyler Higbee has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (37% more than average to TEs); Dallas Goedert faces the Carolina Panthers (12% more than average to TEs). Dallas Goedert still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (15+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 5):
- 23%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 17.9
- Big game (15+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 5):
- 29%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dallas GoedertTE, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler HigbeeTE, LAR, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.6 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| Standard projection | 8.5 | 7.1 |
| Rank this week | TE5 | TE9 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| Last season per game | 10.3 | 5.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 69% | 67% |
| Trade value | 9 | — |