Tucker KraftorTyler Higbee?

Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft outscores Tyler Higbee in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tyler Higbee comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Tucker Kraft, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tucker Kraft projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyler Higbee has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (36% more than average to TEs); Tucker Kraft faces the Dallas Cowboys (6% fewer than average to TEs). Tucker Kraft still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Tucker Kraft
Floor
2.7
Median
8.4
Ceiling
18.5
Big game (15+):
19%
Dud (under 5):
27%
Tyler Higbee
Floor
2.6
Median
7.9
Ceiling
17.9
Big game (15+):
16%
Dud (under 5):
29%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatTucker KraftTE, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ETTyler HigbeeTE, LAR, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.99.2
PPR projection11.911.4
Standard projection7.97.1
Rank this weekTE6TE10
Matchupvs DALvs ARI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.59.1
Last season per game12.65.9
Snap share, last game77%67%
Trade value11—