Tyler HigbeeorTyler Warren?

Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Tyler Warren

Tyler Warren outscores Tyler Higbee in 55% of simulations.

Tyler Higbee still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Tyler Warren is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Warren projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyler Higbee has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (36% more than average to TEs); Tyler Warren faces the Tennessee Titans (7% fewer than average to TEs). Tyler Warren still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Tyler Higbee
Floor
2.6
Median
7.9
Ceiling
17.9
Big game (15+):
16%
Dud (under 5):
29%
Tyler Warren
Floor
4.1
Median
9.0
Ceiling
16.6
Big game (15+):
15%
Dud (under 5):
16%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatTyler HigbeeTE, LAR, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ETTyler WarrenTE, IND, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.29.8
PPR projection11.412.4
Standard projection7.17.2
Rank this weekTE10TE7
Matchupvs ARIvs TEN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.111.0
Last season per game5.98.9
Snap share, last game67%94%
Trade value—11