Kyle PittsorTyler Warren?
Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Tyler Warren
Tyler Warren outscores Kyle Pitts in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyle Pitts comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Tyler Warren, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kyle Pitts projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Kyle Pitts has the better matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (20% more than average to TEs); Tyler Warren faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (average to TEs). Tyler Warren still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (15+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 5):
- 31%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 9.4
- Ceiling
- 17.2
- Big game (15+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 5):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler WarrenTE, IND, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.7 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 13.0 | 12.9 |
| Standard projection | 8.4 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | TE5 | TE7 |
| Matchup | at TB | at JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.6 | 11.0 |
| Last season per game | 9.8 | 8.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 94% |
| Trade value | 6 | 11 |