Kyle PittsorTrey McBride?
Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores Kyle Pitts in 65% of simulations.
Kyle Pitts still comes out ahead in the other 35%, so Trey McBride is the better bet, not a sure thing. Trey McBride projects 3.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Kyle Pitts has the better matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (20% more than average to TEs); Trey McBride faces the Dallas Cowboys (9% fewer than average to TEs). Trey McBride still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (15+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 5):
- 31%
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 23.2
- Big game (15+):
- 37%
- Dud (under 5):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.7 | 13.9 |
| PPR projection | 13.0 | 17.7 |
| Standard projection | 8.4 | 10.1 |
| Rank this week | TE4 | TE1 |
| Matchup | at TB | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.6 | 14.4 |
| Last season per game | 9.8 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 93% |
| Trade value | 9 | 44 |