Jaylen WarrenorTrey McBride?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back or tight end.
Our call
Lean Jaylen Warren
Jaylen Warren outscores Trey McBride in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Trey McBride comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jaylen Warren, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylen Warren projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Jaylen Warren faces the Cleveland Browns (5% fewer than average to RBs), Trey McBride faces the Dallas Cowboys (9% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Trey McBride is the pick at 55%; in Standard leagues, Jaylen Warren wins 62%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 23.2
- Big game (15+):
- 37%
- Dud (under 5):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 13.9 |
| PPR projection | 15.6 | 17.7 |
| Standard projection | 12.6 | 10.1 |
| Rank this week | RB11 | TE1 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.4 | 14.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 93% |
| Trade value | 36 | 44 |