Brock BowersorKyle Pitts?
Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Brock Bowers
Brock Bowers outscores Kyle Pitts in 60% of simulations.
Kyle Pitts still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Brock Bowers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Brock Bowers projects 2.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Kyle Pitts has the better matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (20% more than average to TEs); Brock Bowers faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to TEs). Brock Bowers still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 23.7
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 15%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (15+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 5):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.0 | 10.7 |
| PPR projection | 15.9 | 13.0 |
| Standard projection | 10.1 | 8.4 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | TE4 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | at TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.7 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 9.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 56% |
| Trade value | 35 | 9 |