Dallas GoedertorTyler Warren?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Tyler Warren
Tyler Warren outscores Dallas Goedert in 59% of simulations.
Dallas Goedert still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Tyler Warren is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Warren projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Tyler Warren has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (6% fewer than average to TEs); Dallas Goedert faces the New York Giants (16% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 15.0
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 34%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dallas GoedertTE, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler WarrenTE, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 11.5 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | TE11 | TE10 |
| Matchup | vs NYG | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.5 | 9.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.3 | 8.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 80% | 72% |
| Trade value | — | 3 |