Brock BowersorTravis Kelce?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Brock Bowers
Brock Bowers outscores Travis Kelce in 69% of simulations.
Travis Kelce still comes out ahead in the other 31%, so Brock Bowers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Brock Bowers projects 5.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Brock Bowers faces the Seattle Seahawks (10% fewer than average to TEs), Travis Kelce faces the Atlanta Falcons (16% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.0
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 25.4
- Big game (15+):
- 38%
- Dud (under 5):
- 10%
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (15+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 5):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.4 | 8.9 |
| PPR projection | 17.3 | 10.8 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 7.0 |
| Rank this week | TE1 | TE8 |
| Matchup | vs SEA | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.4 | 10.3 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 70% |
| Trade value | 50 | 10 |