Juwan JohnsonorTyler Higbee?

Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee outscores Juwan Johnson in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Juwan Johnson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Tyler Higbee, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyler Higbee projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyler Higbee has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (36% more than average to TEs); Juwan Johnson faces the New York Giants (10% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Juwan Johnson
Floor
3.2
Median
7.7
Ceiling
15.2
Big game (15+):
10%
Dud (under 5):
25%
Tyler Higbee
Floor
2.6
Median
7.9
Ceiling
17.9
Big game (15+):
16%
Dud (under 5):
29%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJuwan JohnsonTE, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETTyler HigbeeTE, LAR, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.69.2
PPR projection10.911.4
Standard projection6.47.1
Rank this weekTE11TE10
Matchupat NYGvs ARI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.79.1
Last season per game8.35.9
Snap share, last game64%67%
Trade value4—