Mark AndrewsorTyler Higbee?
Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Tyler Higbee
Tyler Higbee outscores Mark Andrews in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mark Andrews comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Tyler Higbee, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 6.5 half-PPR points in Week 5. Mark Andrews has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (10% fewer than average to TEs); Tyler Higbee faces the Buffalo Bills (32% fewer than average to TEs). Tyler Higbee still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 14.2
- Big game (15+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 5):
- 49%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Mark AndrewsTE, BAL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ET | Tyler HigbeeTE, LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| PPR projection | 8.2 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | TE18 | TE17 |
| Matchup | at ATL | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.5 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 6.3 | 5.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 65% |
| Trade value | — | — |