Dalton SchultzorKenyon Sadiq?

Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz outscores Kenyon Sadiq in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kenyon Sadiq comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Dalton Schultz, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenyon Sadiq projects 0.6 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Dalton Schultz has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (1% more than average to TEs); Kenyon Sadiq faces the Chicago Bears (15% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Kenyon Sadiq is the pick at 54%. Kenyon Sadiq is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Dalton Schultz
Floor
2.7
Median
7.5
Ceiling
16.3
Big game (15+):
13%
Dud (under 5):
28%
Kenyon Sadiq
Floor
0.0
Median
7.6
Ceiling
20.3
Big game (15+):
20%
Dud (under 5):
35%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETKenyon SadiqTE, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.89.4
PPR projection11.511.1
Standard projection6.17.6
Rank this weekTE12TE10
Matchupvs DALat CHI
InjuryNoneQuestionable
2026 points per game10.010.9
Last season per game8.0—
Snap share, last game54%58%
Trade value—17