Hunter HenryorMark Andrews?

Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry outscores Mark Andrews in 55% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Mark Andrews comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Hunter Henry, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Hunter Henry projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Hunter Henry faces the Las Vegas Raiders (5% fewer than average to TEs), Mark Andrews faces the Atlanta Falcons (10% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Hunter Henry
Floor
1.8
Median
5.8
Ceiling
14.1
Big game (15+):
8%
Dud (under 5):
43%
Mark Andrews
Floor
1.2
Median
5.2
Ceiling
14.2
Big game (15+):
9%
Dud (under 5):
49%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatHunter HenryTE, NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETMark AndrewsTE, BAL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.96.5
PPR projection8.58.2
Standard projection5.34.8
Rank this weekTE16TE18
Matchupvs LVat ATL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.87.5
Last season per game8.86.3
Snap share, last game64%58%
Trade value——