Juwan JohnsonorKenyon Sadiq?

Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson outscores Kenyon Sadiq in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kenyon Sadiq comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Juwan Johnson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenyon Sadiq projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Juwan Johnson faces the Atlanta Falcons (10% fewer than average to TEs), Kenyon Sadiq faces the Chicago Bears (9% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Juwan Johnson
Floor
4.0
Median
9.3
Ceiling
17.9
Big game (15+):
18%
Dud (under 5):
16%
Kenyon Sadiq
Floor
2.9
Median
8.9
Ceiling
21.6
Big game (15+):
24%
Dud (under 5):
25%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJuwan JohnsonTE, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ETKenyon SadiqTE, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection10.310.8
PPR projection12.512.8
Standard projection8.08.8
Rank this weekTE9TE7
Matchupvs ATLat CHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game13.610.9
Last season per game8.3—
Snap share, last game62%58%
Trade value1215