Kenyon SadiqorMike Gesicki?

Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki outscores Kenyon Sadiq in 58% of simulations.

Kenyon Sadiq still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Mike Gesicki is the better bet, not a sure thing. Mike Gesicki projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Mike Gesicki has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (27% more than average to TEs); Kenyon Sadiq faces the Cleveland Browns (2% more than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kenyon Sadiq
Floor
1.4
Median
6.1
Ceiling
17.0
Big game (15+):
13%
Dud (under 5):
42%
Mike Gesicki
Floor
2.4
Median
7.4
Ceiling
17.1
Big game (15+):
15%
Dud (under 5):
31%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKenyon SadiqTE, NYJ, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETMike GesickiTE, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.98.8
PPR projection9.410.4
Standard projection6.57.2
Rank this weekTE10TE9
Matchupvs CLEat MIA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.213.0
Last season per game—4.7
Snap share, last game69%62%
Trade value——