Jake FergusonorKenyon Sadiq?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Kenyon Sadiq
Kenyon Sadiq outscores Jake Ferguson in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jake Ferguson comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Kenyon Sadiq, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenyon Sadiq projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Kenyon Sadiq faces the Chicago Bears (15% fewer than average to TEs), Jake Ferguson faces the Houston Texans (9% fewer than average to TEs). Kenyon Sadiq is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 33%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 20.3
- Big game (15+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 5):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jake FergusonTE, DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenyon SadiqTE, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.5 | 9.4 |
| PPR projection | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.5 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | TE13 | TE10 |
| Matchup | at HOU | at CHI |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 9.2 | 10.9 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 69% | 58% |
| Trade value | — | 17 |