Darren WallerorKenyon Sadiq?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Kenyon Sadiq
Kenyon Sadiq outscores Darren Waller in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Darren Waller comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Kenyon Sadiq, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenyon Sadiq projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Darren Waller has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (45% more than average to TEs); Kenyon Sadiq faces the Chicago Bears (9% fewer than average to TEs). Kenyon Sadiq still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (15+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 5):
- 30%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 21.6
- Big game (15+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 5):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Darren WallerTE, CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET | Kenyon SadiqTE, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.4 | 10.8 |
| PPR projection | 12.1 | 12.8 |
| Standard projection | 8.6 | 8.8 |
| Rank this week | TE8 | TE7 |
| Matchup | vs DET | at CHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.4 | 10.9 |
| Last season per game | 8.5 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 51% | 58% |
| Trade value | — | 15 |