Kenyon SadiqorSam LaPorta?

Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Kenyon Sadiq

Kenyon Sadiq outscores Sam LaPorta in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Sam LaPorta comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Kenyon Sadiq, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenyon Sadiq projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Sam LaPorta has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (6% more than average to TEs); Kenyon Sadiq faces the Chicago Bears (9% fewer than average to TEs). Kenyon Sadiq still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kenyon Sadiq
Floor
2.9
Median
8.9
Ceiling
21.6
Big game (15+):
24%
Dud (under 5):
25%
Sam LaPorta
Floor
3.2
Median
8.4
Ceiling
17.6
Big game (15+):
16%
Dud (under 5):
24%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKenyon SadiqTE, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETSam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection10.89.7
PPR projection12.812.0
Standard projection8.87.4
Rank this weekTE7TE11
Matchupat CHIat CAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.99.1
Last season per game—9.7
Snap share, last game58%92%
Trade value152