Courtland SuttonorJalen Coker?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Courtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton outscores Jalen Coker in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jalen Coker comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Courtland Sutton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jalen Coker projects 0.8 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jalen Coker has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (20% more than average to WRs); Courtland Sutton faces the San Francisco 49ers (1% fewer than average to WRs). Courtland Sutton still wins more often despite that. Jalen Coker is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 15.1
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Courtland SuttonWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Jalen CokerWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 9.1 |
| PPR projection | 10.2 | 11.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| Rank this week | WR28 | WR24 |
| Matchup | at SF | vs DET |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 4.1 | 14.4 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | 6.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 87% | 36% |
| Trade value | — | 1 |