Darius CooperorXavier Hutchinson?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Darius Cooper

Darius Cooper outscores Xavier Hutchinson in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Xavier Hutchinson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Darius Cooper, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Xavier Hutchinson projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Xavier Hutchinson has the better matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars (4% more than average to WRs); Darius Cooper faces the Carolina Panthers (15% fewer than average to WRs). Darius Cooper still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Darius Cooper wins 58%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Darius Cooper
Floor
2.5
Median
5.3
Ceiling
10.0
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
59%
Xavier Hutchinson
Floor
1.5
Median
4.9
Ceiling
11.9
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
60%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDarius CooperWR, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETXavier HutchinsonWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.96.0
PPR projection6.77.4
Standard projection5.14.6
Rank this weekWR47WR43
Matchupvs CARat JAX
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.16.3
Last season per game2.35.0
Snap share, last game85%41%
Trade value——