DJ MooreorJordan Watkins?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jordan Watkins
Jordan Watkins outscores DJ Moore in 56% of simulations.
DJ Moore still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Jordan Watkins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jordan Watkins projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Jordan Watkins has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); DJ Moore faces the Las Vegas Raiders (6% more than average to WRs). DJ Moore is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 52%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET | Jordan WatkinsWR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.3 | 7.7 |
| PPR projection | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.0 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR40 | WR38 |
| Matchup | at LV | vs WAS |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.6 | 7.0 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 1.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 39% | 28% |
| Trade value | — | — |