Emari DemercadoorPierre Strong?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Pierre Strong
Pierre Strong outscores Emari Demercado in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Emari Demercado comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Pierre Strong, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Pierre Strong projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Emari Demercado has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (3% fewer than average to RBs); Pierre Strong faces the New England Patriots (16% fewer than average to RBs). Pierre Strong still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Pierre Strong wins 60%; in Standard leagues, Emari Demercado is the pick at 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 2.6
- Ceiling
- 7.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 85%
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 7.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 82%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Emari DemercadoRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Pierre StrongRB, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| PPR projection | 3.7 | 4.8 |
| Standard projection | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| Rank this week | RB50 | RB48 |
| Matchup | at LAC | at NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.8 | 4.2 |
| Last season per game | 4.3 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 16% | 13% |
| Trade value | — | — |