Eric SaubertorJosiah Deguara?

Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Eric Saubert

Eric Saubert outscores Josiah Deguara in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Josiah Deguara comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Eric Saubert, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Eric Saubert projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Eric Saubert faces the Los Angeles Chargers (19% fewer than average to TEs), Josiah Deguara faces the Los Angeles Rams (14% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Eric Saubert
Floor
0.1
Median
0.8
Ceiling
3.5
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
96%
Josiah Deguara
Floor
0.1
Median
0.8
Ceiling
3.3
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
97%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatEric SaubertTE, SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ETJosiah DeguaraTE, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection1.41.3
PPR projection1.61.5
Standard projection1.11.1
Rank this weekTE66TE68
Matchupvs LACvs LAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game2.4—
Last season per game0.81.4
Snap share, last game27%—
Trade value——